Opinion Archives - The Wire China https://www.thewirechina.com/category/opinion/ Sun, 08 Sep 2024 22:57:55 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://www.thewirechina.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/10/cropped-square_logo-32x32.jpg Opinion Archives - The Wire China https://www.thewirechina.com/category/opinion/ 32 32 The Problem With “Overcapacity” in China’s Automotive Industry https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/09/08/the-problem-with-overcapacity-in-chinas-automotive-industry-auto-china/ Sun, 08 Sep 2024 23:00:00 +0000 John Paul Helveston Paul Triolo Jonas Nahm https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=50710 The debate over China’s auto exports is bedeviled by narrow definitions and mis-measurement that risks encouraging the wrong policy response.

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Why Reading U.S.-China History Right Matters https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/09/01/why-reading-u-s-china-history-right-matters/ Sun, 01 Sep 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Ali Wyne https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=50070 Those who argue that U.S. policymakers “allowed” China to rise too easily may overestimate Washington’s power. That misjudgment has implications for future American policy.

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Could Kamala Harris Be the Next Richard Nixon? https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/08/25/could-kamala-harris-be-the-next-richard-nixon/ Sun, 25 Aug 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Stephen S. Roach https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=50161 The looming superpower clash between the United States and China begs for another strategic breakthrough.

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China Must Rein in Local Governments https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/08/18/china-must-rein-in-local-governments/ Sun, 18 Aug 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Huang Yiping https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=49896 The decentralization of decision-making was essential to China’s economic boom in its early years, but further economic reform will require the central government to reassert control.

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Would Trump Escalate the U.S.-China Trade War? https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/08/04/would-trump-escalate-the-u-s-china-trade-war/ Sun, 04 Aug 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Nancy Qian https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=49370 History suggests why the government would forge ahead with a policy agenda that would harm average Americans.

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China’s Contradictions Remain Unresolved https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/07/28/chinas-contradictions-remain-unresolved-third-plenum/ Sun, 28 Jul 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Diana Choyleva https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=49123 The CCP’s latest Third Plenum meeting failed to deliver a coherent economic blueprint for the country.

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China’s Tech Turnaround https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/07/21/chinas-tech-turnaround-crackdown-investments-ai-government/ Sun, 21 Jul 2024 09:00:00 +0000 Graham Webster https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=48359 Beijing’s crackdown on the sector, followed by recent huge investments in AI and other areas, are part of a long pattern of shifts in the way the government has approached tech development.

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The Taiwan Debate Is Heading in a Dangerous Direction https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/07/14/the-taiwan-debate-is-heading-in-a-dangerous-direction-chip-industry/ Sun, 14 Jul 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Paul Triolo https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=48220 Discussions within U.S. policy making circles take too little account of the devastating impact any conflict could have on the global chip industry.

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How A New Government In Britain Could Deal With China https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/06/30/how-a-new-government-in-britain-could-deal-with-china/ Sun, 30 Jun 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Kerry Brown https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=47312 Crafting a new policy towards relations with Beijing will not be easy after the imminent UK election, but an incoming government will have hundreds of years of experience to draw on.

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Mexico Is No Backdoor For Chinese Carmakers https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/06/23/mexico-is-no-backdoor-for-chinese-carmakers-china-tariffs-cars/ Sun, 23 Jun 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Tom Miller https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=47632 A recent trip to Mexico suggests talk of widespread Chinese tariff evasion has been overdone.

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How a Move to Bangkok Revealed China’s Economic Power https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/06/16/how-a-move-to-bangkok-revealed-chinas-economic-power-thailand-china-economy/ Sun, 16 Jun 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Shai Oster https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=47019 Hong Kong lies close to some of China’s biggest tech and manufacturing companies, but you hardly know it living there.

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What the China Pessimists Are Getting Wrong https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/06/09/what-the-china-pessimists-are-getting-wrong-chinese-economy/ Sun, 09 Jun 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Yu Yongding https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=47006 While China is probably in a much better position than bearish observers claim, the economy would benefit if Chinese households saved less and consumed more.

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How Exceptional Is China’s Crony-Capitalist Boom? https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/06/09/how-exceptional-is-chinas-crony-capitalist-boom-china-corruption/ Sun, 09 Jun 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Yuen Yuen Ang https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=47043 In both the U.S. and China, corruption has evolved over time from thuggery and theft to more sophisticated exchanges of power and profit.

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Beijing Wants Science to Focus on Self-reliance https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/06/02/beijing-wants-science-to-focus-on-self-reliance-china-universities/ Sun, 02 Jun 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Michael Laha https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=46727 China’s universities are organizing platforms and teams to help break the country’s dependence on foreign imports.

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The Sino-American Trade War Benefits China’s Competitors https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/05/26/the-sino-american-trade-war-benefits-chinas-competitors/ Sun, 26 May 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Arvind Subramanian https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=46518 The higher the tariffs, the greater the competitive advantage third-country suppliers will gain over Chinese firms.

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The High Costs of Tariffs without End https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/05/19/the-high-costs-of-tariffs-without-end-biden-tariffs-chinese-imports-china/ Sun, 19 May 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Victor Shih https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=46191 The Biden administration’s new measures against Chinese imports risks creating a doom-loop of declining American competitiveness.

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What TikTok Got Wrong About America https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/05/12/what-tiktok-got-wrong-about-america/ Sun, 12 May 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Nancy Qian https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=45818 One thing is certain: the company’s aggressive lobbying strategy ultimately did more harm than good.

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U.S. Big Tech in China: Too Big to Bail https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/05/05/u-s-big-tech-in-china-too-big-to-bail/ Sun, 05 May 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Ngor Luong Sam Bresnick Kathleen Curlee https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=45217 Most major tech firms are continuing to invest in China despite difficult market and international conditions.

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Missed Opportunities https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/05/05/missed-opportunities-china-foreigners-expats-business-international/ Sun, 05 May 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Zhuowen Li Mathilde Barge https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=45527 Not so long ago, China was a thriving hub for expatriates, from students looking to learn Mandarin — and for a bit of adventure — to business executives keen to explore a vast market undergoing seemingly endless high growth. Those days seem to be over. China has undergone a significant decline in its foreign population. And […]

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How to Bridge the Transatlantic Gap on China https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/04/28/how-to-bridge-the-transatlantic-gap-on-china-u-s-europe-china/ Sun, 28 Apr 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Andrew Cainey https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=45252 The U.S. and Europe need to work together better on China-related issues. Step one: work out the differences in where each side is coming from.

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How Amazon Paved the Way for Shein and Temu https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/04/21/how-amazon-paved-the-way-for-shein-and-temu/ Sun, 21 Apr 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Shai Oster https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=44914 The extraordinary rise of two Chinese shopping apps shows how they have learned lessons from the past and others.

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China’s AI Pioneers Face A Critical Year https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/04/14/chinas-ai-pioneers-face-a-critical-year-industry/ Sun, 14 Apr 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Paul Triolo Kendra Schaefer https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=44590 China's AI industry is still developing and it's still unclear who will emerge as the market leaders.

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Hong Kong’s Identity Crisis https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/04/07/hong-kongs-identity-crisis-hong-kong-economy/ Sun, 07 Apr 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Stephen S. Roach https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=44162 Despite its famed resilience, it’s hard to make the case for an upturn in the city’s fortunes, given they now go hand-in-hand with those of mainland China.

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A Russian Nuclear Anti-Satellite Weapon Is Not Good News for China https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/03/17/a-russian-nuclear-anti-satellite-weapon-is-not-good-news-for-china-russia-us/ Sun, 17 Mar 2024 23:00:00 +0000 Brian Hart Joseph Webster https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=43321 Russia’s alleged development of a nuclear anti-satellite weapons capability could upend strategic stability between the three most powerful nuclear-armed states: the United States, China, and Russia.

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Why China’s New Growth Target Misses the Mark https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/03/10/why-chinas-new-growth-target-misses-the-mark-li-qiang-economic-problems/ Sun, 10 Mar 2024 23:00:00 +0000 George Magnus https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=43059 The Chinese government is trying to lift spirits, but it has failed to offer realistic plans to address the country’s deep-seated economic problems.

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A Vital Year Ahead for U.S.-China Climate Engagement https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/03/03/a-vital-year-ahead-for-u-s-china-climate-engagement/ Mon, 04 Mar 2024 00:00:00 +0000 Herbert Crowther Chengkai Xie https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=42700 Disagreements loom on how to fund the global fight against climate change, but there’s plenty of room this year for both countries to entrench recent progress in their cooperation.

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China’s Imagination Deficit https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/02/25/chinas-imagination-deficit-chinese-economic-problems-economy-china/ Mon, 26 Feb 2024 00:00:00 +0000 Stephen S. Roach https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=42189 Beijing is providing only stale solutions to the country's economic problems.

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Why China Won’t Fight the Houthis https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/02/18/why-china-wont-fight-the-houthis-middle-east-u-s-israel/ Mon, 19 Feb 2024 00:00:00 +0000 Yun Sun https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=41866 China's main aim is to blame the U.S. and Israel for turmoil in the Middle East.

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The Financial Fallout from China’s Property Market https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/02/11/the-financial-fallout-from-chinas-property-market-real-estate-china/ Mon, 12 Feb 2024 00:00:00 +0000 Nicholas Borst https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=41578 Unless Beijing takes some bold steps the real estate slump will continue to hinder the economy.

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Beijing Is Set to Rescue the Market Again: But Is That the Right Thing to Do? https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/02/04/beijing-is-set-to-rescue-the-market-again-but-is-that-the-right-thing-to-do-chinese-stock-markets/ Mon, 05 Feb 2024 00:00:00 +0000 Victor Shih https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=41309 There are much better ways for the government to spend hundreds of billions of dollars than propping up Chinese stocks.

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U.S. Technologies and the Emboldening of China https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/01/28/u-s-technologies-and-the-emboldening-of-china-export-controls-military-technology/ Mon, 29 Jan 2024 00:00:00 +0000 Steve Coonen https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=41064 Rather than restricting access to militarily useful technologies, U.S. export control officials and their failed policies risk emboldening Beijing.

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The Dilemma of the China Shedding Strategy https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/01/21/the-dilemma-of-the-china-shedding-strategy-chinese-investment-firms/ Mon, 22 Jan 2024 00:00:00 +0000 Ivy Yang https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=40733 Global investment firms face a risky balancing act as they create separate operations in China.

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The Industry View of U.S. Export Controls: Moving the Goalposts https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/01/14/the-industry-view-of-u-s-export-controls-moving-the-goalposts-chips/ Mon, 15 Jan 2024 00:00:00 +0000 Paul Triolo https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=40386 The Trump and Biden administrations’ efforts to restrict China’s access to chips has led to five years of confusion for companies.

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South Korea and the U.S.-China Rivalry https://www.thewirechina.com/2024/01/07/south-korea-and-the-u-s-china-rivalry/ Mon, 08 Jan 2024 00:00:00 +0000 Keun Lee https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=39870 The Asian nation benefited hugely from closer global economic integration. That is now under threat.

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China’s Economic Engine Is Running Out of Fuel https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/12/31/chinas-economic-engine-is-running-out-of-fuel/ Mon, 01 Jan 2024 00:00:00 +0000 Yi Fuxian https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=39774 Policy makers need to be more realistic about the prospects for future growth, particularly when it comes to China's demographic challenges.

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Italy and Europe’s Chinese Trial by Fire https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/12/17/italy-and-europes-chinese-trial-by-fire-giorgia-meloni-china/ Mon, 18 Dec 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Duncan Bartlett https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=39485 The Italian leader has shifted her country’s approach to China, but the destination is not yet clear.

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Fixing China’s Real-Estate Sector https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/12/10/fixing-chinas-real-estate-sector/ Mon, 11 Dec 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Yu Yongding https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=39228 Beijing may have to take over control of property developers to contain the impact of the sector's downturn.

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On Kissinger, China and the “End of Engagement” https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/12/03/reflections-on-kissinger-china-and-the-end-of-engagement/ Mon, 04 Dec 2023 02:00:00 +0000 Orville Schell https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=39035 The writer and scholar Orville Schell reflects on the legacy of Henry Kissinger.

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Beijing is Not Returning to its Reform Agenda  https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/12/03/beijing-is-not-returning-to-its-reform-agenda-china-foreign-business/ Mon, 04 Dec 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Max J. Zenglein Jacob Gunter https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=38751 Don't be fooled by the Chinese government's recent charm offensive towards foreign business.

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Why De-Risking Matters https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/11/19/why-de-risking-matters-china/ Mon, 20 Nov 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Andrew Cainey https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=38035 Companies and governments need a better mutual understanding of how they view each other’s approach towards China.

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What Role for China in Global AI Governance? https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/11/12/what-role-for-china-in-global-ai-governance-safety-summit/ Mon, 13 Nov 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Paul Triolo https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=38148 The next six months will be crucial in determining how the West and China cooperate on regulating the fast-growing technology.

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Will China Mediate the Israel-Hamas Conflict? https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/11/05/will-china-mediate-the-israel-hamas-conflict/ Mon, 06 Nov 2023 00:00:00 +0000 Yun Sun https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=37616 In the foreseeable future, it's not likely.

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Li Keqiang: The Man Who Followed the Rules https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/10/29/li-keqiang-the-man-who-followed-the-rules/ Sun, 29 Oct 2023 23:00:00 +0000 Victor Shih https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=37692 The former premier warned of the dangers of unchecked power.

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How China’s Global Initiatives Aim to Change the Way the World is Run https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/10/22/how-chinas-global-initiatives-aim-to-change-the-way-the-world-is-run/ Sun, 22 Oct 2023 23:00:00 +0000 Manoj Kewalramani https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=37049 Beijing’s new foreign policy concepts add up to a call for more emphasis on state rights over those of individuals.

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An Economist at the Heart of U.S.-China Engagement https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/10/15/an-economist-at-the-heart-of-u-s-china-engagement/ Sun, 15 Oct 2023 23:00:00 +0000 Bob Davis https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=37093 An obituary for David Dollar, whose work argued for the benefits of more open trade and investment for poor countries.

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Chinese Regulators Give AI Firms a Helping Hand https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/10/08/chinese-regulators-give-ai-firms-a-helping-hand/ Sun, 08 Oct 2023 23:00:00 +0000 Angela Huyue Zhang https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=36820 Chinese firms might even have a competitive advantage over their American and European counterparts.

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What Huawei’s New Mate 60 Means for China, the U.S. and the Global Tech Industry https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/10/01/what-huaweis-new-mate-60-means-for-china-the-u-s-and-the-global-tech-industry/ Sun, 01 Oct 2023 23:00:00 +0000 Paul Triolo https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=36674 The debut of the Chinese giant's new smartphone calls for a nuanced debate about how effective U.S. trade policy has been.

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Addressing the Robot Risk https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/09/24/addressing-the-robot-risk/ Sun, 24 Sep 2023 23:00:00 +0000 Gerui Wang https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=36394 Global cooperation is needed to ensure the rapid progress in robotics benefits societies.

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Keeping Taiwan Online https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/09/17/keeping-taiwan-online-satellite-starlink/ Sun, 17 Sep 2023 23:00:00 +0000 Jason Hsu Richard Y.K. Chen https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=36123 Taiwan should invest more to ensure its connectivity to the outside world remains robust.

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Building BRICS — a  Limited Win for China and Warning for the U.S. https://www.thewirechina.com/2023/09/17/building-brics-a-limited-win-for-china-and-warning-for-the-u-s/ Sun, 17 Sep 2023 23:00:00 +0000 Cliff Kupchan https://www.thewirechina.com/?p=36171 Washington needs to do more to keep the swing states of the Global South onside.

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